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Biden vs. Trump vs. RFK Jr. polls

Trump has a 2.0% lead based on 190 polls.

Jun 25, 2024

Photograph of Trump

Trump

41.9%
Photograph of Biden

Biden

39.9%
Photograph of Kennedy

Kennedy

7.8%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

A bit of background... As voters have soured on Joe Biden and Donald Trump over the past four years, many have wondered whether third-party candidates will run stronger than in previous elections. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s campaign introduces a compelling three-way contest against incumbent President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. This unique configuration tests the waters of American political allegiance, as voters consider a broader spectrum of options for the country's leadership, similar to in 2016.

190 polls

Latest Poll: Mon, Jun 24, 6:02 AM EDT

Jun 6 – 22

2,192 LV

ActiVote
43.7%

Trump

42.1%

Biden

14.2%

Kennedy

+2 Trump

Jun 21

1,000 LV

Rasmussen Reports
46.0%

Trump

36.0%

Biden

9.0%

Kennedy

+10 Trump

Jun 17 – 19

1,392 RV

YouGov/The Economist
42.0%

Trump

42.0%

Biden

4.0%

Kennedy

TIE

Jun 17 – 18

1,500 RV

Redfield & Wilton St...
41.0%

Trump

41.0%

Biden

7.0%

Kennedy

TIE

Jun 15 – 18

1,095 RV

Beacon Research/Shaw...
43.0%

Biden

42.0%

Trump

10.0%

Kennedy

+1 Biden

Jun 12 – 15

1,011 RV

YouGov/New York Post
41.0%

Biden

39.0%

Trump

3.0%

Kennedy

+2 Biden

Jun 13

930 RV

Ipsos/Reuters
38.0%

Trump

37.0%

Biden

10.0%

Kennedy

+1 Trump

Jun 12 – 13

1,141 LV

Redfield & Wilton St...
41.0%

Biden

40.0%

Trump

7.0%

Kennedy

+1 Biden

Jun 11 – 13

1,013 LV

Echelon Insights
43.0%

Trump

42.0%

Biden

7.0%

Kennedy

+1 Trump

Jun 11 – 13

1,184 RV

Marist College Poll/...
42.0%

Trump

41.0%

Biden

11.0%

Kennedy

+1 Trump

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

Donald Trump headshot

Donald Trump

Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.

Joe Biden headshot

Joe Biden

Joe Biden is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the 46th President of the United States. Before his presidency, he served as Vice President under President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017. Prior to that, he represented the state of Delaware in the U.S. Senate, holding that seat from 1973 to 2009. Biden's extensive political career has focused on issues such as foreign policy, criminal justice, and civil rights.

RFK Jr. headshot

RFK Jr.

RFK Jr., or Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is an American environmental lawyer and activist. As the son of Robert F. Kennedy, former U.S. Attorney General and Senator from New York, and the nephew of President John F. Kennedy, he has a deep-seated connection to American politics. However, he has primarily focused his career on environmental advocacy, co-founding the Waterkeeper Alliance, an organization dedicated to clean water. He has often stirred controversy, particularly with his vocal skepticism towards vaccines.

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